Study: The Reform Party, Isamaa and the SDE alliance preferred the coalition option | New
The Kantar Emor poll commissioned by ERR revealed that 38% of citizens of voting age consider the Reform-Isamaa-SDE coalition to be the best possible choice.
The “can’t say” answer was the choice of 24% of respondents to the poll which surveyed 1,537 citizens of voting age between 18 and 84 from June 9-14. Half of the respondents were interviewed online and the other half by telephone.
Coming in third place was the main alternative to the currently negotiated coalition, an alliance between the Centre, EKRE and Isamaa, which 19% of Estonians would like to see lead the country.
Only 8% of respondents would have liked to see the recent Reform-Center coalition recreated, with support for a Reform-EKRE alliance even lower at 3%.
A further 8% would have liked to see an alternative to all of the above options, while such a combination would be highly unlikely.
Removed “can’t say” vote
If we remove the “can’t say” option from the responses, leaving only respondents with a clear political preference (as is done when presenting party ratings), 50% of voters prefer the new Reform- SDE-Isamaa.
In this case, the support for the Centre-EKRE-Isamaa option is 25%, Reform-Centre 11% and Reform and EKRE only 4%.
Coalition preferences of voters of different parties
Reform Party and SDE voters clearly prefer the currently negotiated coalition with Isamaa by 82% and 58% respectively.
Isamaa supporters disagree to the same extent, with 42% in favor of the Reform-SDE-Isamaa option, while 19% would prefer to join the Center and EKRE in a coalition.
Center voters tend to prefer the latter option (40%), while 28% of their supporters have no preference for the coalition at all. 23% of center voters would have preferred to keep the recent Reform and Center coalition.
EKRE supporters clearly prefer marriage to the center and Isamaa (72%), with a coalition with reform their second preference (11%).
Voters in the non-parliamentary Eesti 200 also see the Reform-Isamaa-SDE coalition as the best option for Estonia (55%). Interestingly, 17% of Liberal Party voters had no clear coalition preference.
Main national differences
Nationality also affects preferences for the next coalition.
Ethnic Estonians tend to prefer the Reform-Isamaa-SDE coalition (45%), although 21% opted for the ‘can’t say’ option.
19% of ethnic Estonians would like to see the Centre-Isamaa-EKRE coalition.
Among non-ethnic Estonians, 36% had no clear preference for the ruling coalition. A coalition between the Centre, EKRE and Isamaa was the second most popular option.
Older voters tend to have stronger preferences
The differences between the age groups are manifested in the fact that young people more often opt for the “can’t say” option than older voters.
In the 18-34 age group, 30% could not choose a preference, this figure fell to 23% in the 35-49 age group, 22% in the 50-74 age group and only 16% in the 75-84 age group.
Both coalition options become more popular as the age of the respondents increases, while the alliance of Reform, Isamaa and SDE is clearly the preferred option.
Follow ERR News on Facebook and Twitter and never miss an update!